Sunday, September 23, 2018
THE POLITICS of calculating hurricane deaths.
Since 'excess deaths' seems to be the new standard, I'd like to see that standard applied to hurricane Florence. For example, I'd like to see the 'excess death' calculation for Florence from say, a week before landfall to a week after landfall. My personal suspicion is that the deaths that didn't happen (murders, automobile accidents, etc.) because people left/stayed home/etc. exceed those that were directly related to the weather.
And then wait six months and repeat the experiment using exactly the same criteria that Lynn R. Goldman of the Milken Institute School of Public Health at George Washington University in her study of deaths in Puerto Rico due to hurricane Maria.
Since 'excess deaths' seems to be the new standard, I'd like to see that standard applied to hurricane Florence. For example, I'd like to see the 'excess death' calculation for Florence from say, a week before landfall to a week after landfall. My personal suspicion is that the deaths that didn't happen (murders, automobile accidents, etc.) because people left/stayed home/etc. exceed those that were directly related to the weather.
And then wait six months and repeat the experiment using exactly the same criteria that Lynn R. Goldman of the Milken Institute School of Public Health at George Washington University in her study of deaths in Puerto Rico due to hurricane Maria.
IT'S SUNDAY, and time for Installment II of Autumn Leaves 2018. Here are today's pictures.
The view from the deck hasn't changed much at all - the dead/dying trees are still dead/dying and the rest of the forest remains the same.
A narrower view of the fire pit this week, and as before not much has changed.
The house view is a slightly narrower view, taken from further down the pond path, but the foliage is little changed. I would like to get a picture from the opposite side, but the terrain along the southeast side of the house is so steep it's almost impossible to walk there. And any picture would have to be taken looking almost straight up....
Here's the dock view of the pond area, and there's finally a bit of evidence of Fall's arrival as the trees on the opposite side of the pond are just beginning to show signs of yellow. I suspect we won't see much color this year as the leaves seem to be green on the trees or brown on the ground. (And there are lots of them on the ground interfering with my efforts to build a new walkway around the carport.)
Finally, the view from the 'back side' of the pond. I've narrowed the field of view this week and moved further away from the pond so the bench is now visible. Our house is above and slightly left of the dock - and it is still completely invisible
Until next week....
The view from the deck hasn't changed much at all - the dead/dying trees are still dead/dying and the rest of the forest remains the same.
A narrower view of the fire pit this week, and as before not much has changed.
The house view is a slightly narrower view, taken from further down the pond path, but the foliage is little changed. I would like to get a picture from the opposite side, but the terrain along the southeast side of the house is so steep it's almost impossible to walk there. And any picture would have to be taken looking almost straight up....
Here's the dock view of the pond area, and there's finally a bit of evidence of Fall's arrival as the trees on the opposite side of the pond are just beginning to show signs of yellow. I suspect we won't see much color this year as the leaves seem to be green on the trees or brown on the ground. (And there are lots of them on the ground interfering with my efforts to build a new walkway around the carport.)
Finally, the view from the 'back side' of the pond. I've narrowed the field of view this week and moved further away from the pond so the bench is now visible. Our house is above and slightly left of the dock - and it is still completely invisible
Until next week....
HURRICANE FLORENCE CONTINUES TO PLAGUE THE MAINSTREAM MEDIA:
As you can probably guess, PowerLine's Week in Pictures has posted. While the media storm over Florence is my favorite, I have two others that ran a close second: hurricane-ready Detroit and the latest 'white power' symbol.
Check them all out.
As you can probably guess, PowerLine's Week in Pictures has posted. While the media storm over Florence is my favorite, I have two others that ran a close second: hurricane-ready Detroit and the latest 'white power' symbol.
Check them all out.
Friday, September 21, 2018
BECAUSE VIOLENCE AGAINST REPUBLICANS ISN'T REALLY VIOLENT VIOLENCE: Concerned Democrats aren't concerned about past sexual assaults by Democrats.
IS IT OVER? Grassley responds to Ford’s demands, sets new response deadline, and issues new ultimatum: 10 pm tonight.
Hopefully we'll know in a few hours.
Hopefully we'll know in a few hours.
Thursday, September 20, 2018
YOU EXPECTED ANYTHING DIFFERENT? Senate Democrats urge FBI to probe threats against Ford; those against Kavanaugh and kin unmentioned.
THE KAVANAUGH NOMINATION: Keep your eye on Susan Collins and Jeff Flake.
The latest is that Christine Blasey Ford will testify - if the terms are 'fair'. My bet is that if she isn't granted an 'indefinite delay, she will declare no fair and refuse to testify, in which case the Judiciary committee should go ahead and vote on schedule, and damn the Democrats for obstruction.
The latest is that Christine Blasey Ford will testify - if the terms are 'fair'. My bet is that if she isn't granted an 'indefinite delay, she will declare no fair and refuse to testify, in which case the Judiciary committee should go ahead and vote on schedule, and damn the Democrats for obstruction.
CONFIRMED: New York Times editors really need to start reading the New York Times. Everything they're looking for is right there on the front page.
HILLARY CLINTON: Trump will 'wholesale fire people' after midterm election. That's a bad thing?
Well, I guess it could be for the swamp critters who infest his administration.
Random Thought: I wonder if roach spray will work on swamp things?
Well, I guess it could be for the swamp critters who infest his administration.
Random Thought: I wonder if roach spray will work on swamp things?
CALIFORNIA'S GOVERNOR ON TRUMP: "[S]omething's got to happen to this guy".
Yes, it will: re-election in 2020.
Yes, it will: re-election in 2020.
SILLY QUESTION: If Democrats can’t run Chicago, can they run anything?
The answer is obviously 'yes' ... into the ground.
The answer is obviously 'yes' ... into the ground.
JEFF FLAKE, traitor.
Like a number of others for whom I once had considerable respect, Flake has elevated his hatred for our president over every principle of politics and public policy. He would rather subvert his own allegedly conservative principles than allow President Trump to exercise his constitutional powers as president. Words can hardly express how contemptible this is.Agreed. And read the entire post.
PLEASE, STUDENTS, take that “impractical” humanities course. A reader responds:
Now all you have to do is find a humanities course that actually teaches what you mention instead of some postmodern SJW claptrap. Good luck with that.I would have linked to the original Washington Post article, but I'm not about to waste $1 - or give them cookie access to my PC - to read their semi-literate opinions.
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