Saturday, April 11, 2020

TELL ME IT ISN'T SO, CUOMO: “Quarantine everyone” might have backfired by accelerating the spread of the coronavirus.

As of April 11, New York has 181,144 confirmed cases of coronavirus; New Jersey (guess which state/city it's next to?) is second with 1/3 of New York's cases (58,151).
ON THE LIGHTER SIDE, PowerLine's Week in Pictures has been posted. I have two favorites this week:



And as usual, there are many more. Go see them.
WUHAN FLU [CORONAVIRUS] UPDATE for April 11, 2020 [note scale changes.]


Reported cases and death rates are both showing clear signs of flattening; much more so for the death rate curves. The trend lines are all 4th order polynomials, so they're very sensitive to variations and can change significantly over a day. That said, however, the decline does seem to be (finally) real.


The projected death curves are also showing significant declines (note the cumulative curve - diamonds are the actuals). But also note that the trend line has flipped from up to down since yesterday, so there's still too much variation in the data for it to have much meaning.

Meanwhile 99.19% of Americans are still coronavirus free assuming the estimated total infections is somewhat accurate.