Saturday, June 06, 2020
WUHAN FLU [CORONAVIRUS] UPDATE for June 6, 2020:
Same old, same old. Cumulative deaths are clearly flattening, and the daily deaths have been stable or declining for over a month. I'm thinking of discontinuing the trend lines because polynomial fits aren't really stable for S-shaped curves and have little -- if any -- predictive value when the 'S' begins to flatten.
Those Americans estimated to remain uninfected is down to 66.625% (good; it's an indicator of building herd immunity); and the death rate has dropped to 0.1016%, typical of an average flu season..
Georgia remains relatively stable. Newly reported cases are still increasing (increased testing?) and daily deaths continue to decline.
Same old, same old. Cumulative deaths are clearly flattening, and the daily deaths have been stable or declining for over a month. I'm thinking of discontinuing the trend lines because polynomial fits aren't really stable for S-shaped curves and have little -- if any -- predictive value when the 'S' begins to flatten.
Those Americans estimated to remain uninfected is down to 66.625% (good; it's an indicator of building herd immunity); and the death rate has dropped to 0.1016%, typical of an average flu season..
Georgia remains relatively stable. Newly reported cases are still increasing (increased testing?) and daily deaths continue to decline.
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