Sunday, September 23, 2018
THE POLITICS of calculating hurricane deaths.
Since 'excess deaths' seems to be the new standard, I'd like to see that standard applied to hurricane Florence. For example, I'd like to see the 'excess death' calculation for Florence from say, a week before landfall to a week after landfall. My personal suspicion is that the deaths that didn't happen (murders, automobile accidents, etc.) because people left/stayed home/etc. exceed those that were directly related to the weather.
And then wait six months and repeat the experiment using exactly the same criteria that Lynn R. Goldman of the Milken Institute School of Public Health at George Washington University in her study of deaths in Puerto Rico due to hurricane Maria.
Since 'excess deaths' seems to be the new standard, I'd like to see that standard applied to hurricane Florence. For example, I'd like to see the 'excess death' calculation for Florence from say, a week before landfall to a week after landfall. My personal suspicion is that the deaths that didn't happen (murders, automobile accidents, etc.) because people left/stayed home/etc. exceed those that were directly related to the weather.
And then wait six months and repeat the experiment using exactly the same criteria that Lynn R. Goldman of the Milken Institute School of Public Health at George Washington University in her study of deaths in Puerto Rico due to hurricane Maria.
IT'S SUNDAY, and time for Installment II of Autumn Leaves 2018. Here are today's pictures.
The view from the deck hasn't changed much at all - the dead/dying trees are still dead/dying and the rest of the forest remains the same.
A narrower view of the fire pit this week, and as before not much has changed.
The house view is a slightly narrower view, taken from further down the pond path, but the foliage is little changed. I would like to get a picture from the opposite side, but the terrain along the southeast side of the house is so steep it's almost impossible to walk there. And any picture would have to be taken looking almost straight up....
Here's the dock view of the pond area, and there's finally a bit of evidence of Fall's arrival as the trees on the opposite side of the pond are just beginning to show signs of yellow. I suspect we won't see much color this year as the leaves seem to be green on the trees or brown on the ground. (And there are lots of them on the ground interfering with my efforts to build a new walkway around the carport.)
Finally, the view from the 'back side' of the pond. I've narrowed the field of view this week and moved further away from the pond so the bench is now visible. Our house is above and slightly left of the dock - and it is still completely invisible
Until next week....
The view from the deck hasn't changed much at all - the dead/dying trees are still dead/dying and the rest of the forest remains the same.
A narrower view of the fire pit this week, and as before not much has changed.
The house view is a slightly narrower view, taken from further down the pond path, but the foliage is little changed. I would like to get a picture from the opposite side, but the terrain along the southeast side of the house is so steep it's almost impossible to walk there. And any picture would have to be taken looking almost straight up....
Here's the dock view of the pond area, and there's finally a bit of evidence of Fall's arrival as the trees on the opposite side of the pond are just beginning to show signs of yellow. I suspect we won't see much color this year as the leaves seem to be green on the trees or brown on the ground. (And there are lots of them on the ground interfering with my efforts to build a new walkway around the carport.)
Finally, the view from the 'back side' of the pond. I've narrowed the field of view this week and moved further away from the pond so the bench is now visible. Our house is above and slightly left of the dock - and it is still completely invisible
Until next week....
HURRICANE FLORENCE CONTINUES TO PLAGUE THE MAINSTREAM MEDIA:
As you can probably guess, PowerLine's Week in Pictures has posted. While the media storm over Florence is my favorite, I have two others that ran a close second: hurricane-ready Detroit and the latest 'white power' symbol.
Check them all out.
As you can probably guess, PowerLine's Week in Pictures has posted. While the media storm over Florence is my favorite, I have two others that ran a close second: hurricane-ready Detroit and the latest 'white power' symbol.
Check them all out.
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