Tuesday, May 05, 2020

WUHAN FLU [CORONAVIRUS] UPDATE for May 5, 2020:


Same old; same old. Note that I added the vertical bar to indicate the current date. The daily variation is deaths is again wagging the tail of the dog, but recognize that the 7-day smoothing (green line) is remaining constant. The 'tail wag' is a result of the fact that the daily numbers are never reported at a consistent time; the real information is in the smoothed data.

The cumulative deaths curve is still showing a bend downward and extending slightly, which indicates (to me, at least) the beginnings of flattening.

For those paying attention, the estimated death rate is 0.1048%, up a bit since yesterday but still at normal annual flu season levels. An estimated 79.290% of Americans have still not been infected, so 'herd immunity' is still happening albeit far too slowly.

No comments:

Post a Comment