Tuesday, April 07, 2020

WUHAN FLU [CORONAVIRUS] UPDATE for April 7, 2020. Here's tonight's update.

The trends on reported cases remain pretty much the same, although I am noticing a very slight downward trend using higher-order polynomial fits to the data. Possibly that mid-April 'peak' is approaching ... or not.


The projected deaths chart is all over the ballpark again; one day it's high, low the next. Because of the high variability I had to use a 4th order polynomial fit to get a guesstimate that seems to make some sense. This one is a clear case of the tail wagging the dog, but since the cumulative numbers seem to be falling along the projection, it's probably a reasonable guesstimate.


And just to be consistent, 99.40% of Americans are still virus-free.

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