SHADOW'S WORLD final election prediction: Romney, 54-46. My prediction is based on the Rasmussen Obama Approval Index data through today assuming an even split of the yet undecided (those whose approval/disapproval is soft).

The soft deciders are 20% on 5 November. Historically about 2/3 of the soft votes are Obama approvers; if they break historically, it will still be a Romney victory, 51-49. If they break decidedly (2/3) for Romney, as past elections tend to support, Romney's victory will be more one-sided, 57% to 43%.