Wednesday, August 19, 2009

OBAMA'S APPROVAL STILL FALLING

President Obama's approval index in the Rasmussen daily tracking poll continues to fall.


This chart differs from earlier ones (here and here) in that I've extended the scale through December 2009, changed the trend lines from linear to a first-order polynomial fit, and projected the trends forward 90 days.

Based on the trend lines, Obama's base (strong approvals) appears to be leveling ever so slightly, but the "undecideds" (no strong feelings) appear to be moving much more strongly toward disapproval as compared to the earlier charts I posted, where the trend was for strong approvals to migrate to approvals, approvals to disapprovals, disapprovals to strong disapprovals.

Gallup is showing roughly the same trends as the Rasmussen tracking poll when strong approvals are combined with approvals, strong disapprovals with disapprovals (via Instapundit).

The Obama administration is in trouble.

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