That damn tail is still wagging the dog, and I'm finding some more likelihood that the data is being manipulated to maintain the panic. The Coronavirus Dashboard and COVID-19 Tracking websites are today showing a difference of ~6,500 in cumulative deaths at 4 pm today. That's just a wee bit more than the 3,700 death difference introduced by New York on April 14th.
My cynical self might suggest that pompous preening pandemic purveyors and petty martinets are panicking again as they come to understand that America is going to open up whether they like it or not -- but I won't (just yet).
The other thing of note in today's chart is that I've introduced a new line to try and control the daily variations in deaths. It's a 7-day running average and as you can see tracks the trend line pretty well.
Bottom line: the pandemic crisis is over. The death rate is declining even though the daily variation is obscuring it a bit. There will be a steady increase in confirmed infections with increased testing, and hopefully we'll get a much better handle on how many people are developing the 'herd immunity' to prevent future outbreaks. An estimated 81.7% of Americans remain uninfected, if not unexposed.
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